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7 DAY FORECAST
HOURLY
78
Few Clouds
Monday-
Mostly Cloudy
99
77
20%
99
77
Mostly Cloudy
Precipitation20%
Wind11mph S
Humidity79%
UVLow
Tuesday-
Partly Cloudy
98
77
0%
98
77
Partly Cloudy
Precipitation0%
Wind10mph S
Humidity59%
UVVery High
Wednesday-
Partly Cloudy
99
77
0%
99
77
Partly Cloudy
Precipitation0%
Wind8mph S
Humidity59%
UVExtreme
Thursday-
Mostly Sunny
99
77
0%
99
77
Mostly Sunny
Precipitation0%
Wind6mph S
Humidity57%
UVExtreme
Friday-
Sunny
100
76
0%
100
76
Sunny
Precipitation0%
Wind7mph S
Humidity56%
UVExtreme
Saturday-
Mostly Sunny
100
78
0%
100
78
Mostly Sunny
Precipitation0%
Wind6mph S
Humidity55%
UVExtreme
Sunday-
Mostly Sunny
100
77
0%
100
77
Mostly Sunny
Precipitation0%
Wind9mph S
Humidity55%
UVExtreme
RIGHT NOW
Precipitation0%
Wind9mph S
Humidity82%
UVLow
Visibility10 miles
78
0%
78
0%
78
10%
78
10%
77
20%
78
10%
80
10%
82
0%
85
0%
88
0%
91
0%
92
0%

Latest Weathercast

WEATHERCAST

Interactive Radar

Radar

Latest Forecast


Monday, August 13th, 2018

DRYING OUT AND HEATING UP

After some beneficial rain the last 3-4 days across much of Central Texas, we’re going back into that old familiar pattern: hot and dry.

I’m forecasting at least a week’s worth of dry weather. At the same time, temps will flirt with 100 and probably get there later this week.

Worth noting – we are in the middle of the climatological peak for hottest temps in Austin. Our highest average high temp is 98 from August 2nd through 16th. It drops to 97 on the 17th. The extra clouds and rain the last few days kept our highs below normal, but Monday, with no rain at Camp Mabry, the high reached 99°! Yes, the relief was brief, but welcome.

I’m forecasting upper 90s the next few days with triple digits returning Friday through early next week. That’s when computer models start disagreeing. One shows a possible cold front for Tuesday the 21st that might bring some rain, clouds and cooler temps. Another keeps our hot, humid, and rain-free weather going. We’ll keep you updated!

HEAT TRACKER

For the Record: We’ve seen 93 days of 90+ heat to date at Camp Mabry. Average from 1897-present is 110 per year, but the 30-year average from 1988-2017 is much higher: 122. The most in a year? 164 in 2011. The lowest was 98 back in 1997.

We’ve seen 34 days of triple digit heat to date at Camp Mabry. The 30-year average for triple digit temps is 25 in a year. The record is 90 days of 100s in 2011.

AIR QUALITY FORECAST

Tuesday’s Air Quality: CODE YELLOW – MODERATE – due to African dust. The dust will keep our air quality moderate on Wednesday as well before improving to good on Thursday and the dust dissipates. Check the Air Quality anytime here: https://airnow.gov/index.cfm?action=airnow.local_city&cityid=229

THE TROPICS

August 9th, The National Hurricane Center released its new forecast for the rest of the season, lowering its forecast. The revised forecast is for 9-13 named storms (average is 12), 4-7 hurricanes (average is 6) and 0-2 major hurricanes (average is 3).

http://www.noaa.gov/media-release/noaa-forecasters-lower-atlantic-hurricane-season-prediction

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/outlooks/index.shtml

The Atlantic Hurricane Season runs until November 30th.

-One disturbance in the middle of the North Atlantic has a 10% chance of development in 2 days, 20% in the next 5.

-The next named storm in the Atlantic will be called Ernesto.

The Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season runs until November 30th.

-Hector weakened to a tropical storm and is expected to weaken further

-One disturbance has a 20% chance of development in the next 2 days, 50% in the next 5.

-Another disturbance has a 30% chance of development in the next 2 days, 30% in the next 5.

-The next named storm in the Pacific will be called Lane

http://cbsaustin.com/weather/hurricane-tracker

http://bit.ly/cbsaustinwxhurricane

EL NINO WATCH CONTINUES

NOAA continued an El Nino Watch on August 9th with the chance for El Niño increasing to 60% during fall, and 70% during winter 2018-19.

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.pdf

For Central Texas, El Nino winters are typically colder and wetter than normal. Stay tuned!

https://www.climate.gov/news-features/featured-images/how-el-ni%C3%B1o-and-la-ni%C3%B1a-affect-winter-jet-stream-and-us-climate

The shorter-term Climate Prediction Center outlook for August 19-23 is near normal for temps and near normal for precip. For Aug 21-27, it’s above normal for temps and near normal precip. For Aug 25-Sept. 7, the outlook is for near normal temps and near normal precip.

FIRE FORECAST

Wildfire danger has been somewhat mitigated with our recent rain, but over the next week, we return to a hot and dry pattern.

All of the CBS Austin area except for Mason County remains under burn bans.

Statewide Burn Bans: http://tfsfrp.tamu.edu/wildfires/DecBan.png

Fire Danger Forecast: http://twc.tamu.edu/tfd

DROUGHT UPDATE

Our recent rain will hopefully show some improvement in the drought department. Last week’s Drought Monitor showed quite a bit of expansion of the EXTREME DROUGHT in the Hill Country with areas of SEVERE DROUGHT now edging into parts of Hays and Williamson Counties. MODERATE DROUGHT covers most of the rest of the I-35 corridor, including Austin. The next Drought Monitor will be release Thursday, August 16th. http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?TX\

ALLERGY REPORT

Mold 3326 – high. Trace Pigweed and Fall Elm. Get the latest allergy report from Allergy & Asthma & Associates here: https://twitter.com/atxpollen and here: http://cbsaustin.com/weather/cbs-austin-allergens. Allergens are updated Monday through Friday, except on holidays.

LAKE LEVELS

Lake Travis was at 64% full with Lake Buchanan at 79%. Monday’s combined lake level was 71%. Check the levels here: http://hydromet.lcra.org/riverreport

UV INDEX

The UV Index for Tuesday will be 10 (very high). Unprotected skin can burn in 15 minutes. Check the UV Index here: https://www.epa.gov/sunsafety/uv-index-1

STORM TRACKER FORECAST

TUE: 98 | Partly cloudy | Winds: S 5-10 | Morning Low: 77

WED: 99 | Partly cloudy | Winds: S 5-10 | Morning Low: 77

THU: 99 | Mostly sunny | Winds: S 5-10 | Morning Low: 77

FRI: 100 | Mostly sunny | Winds: S 5-10 | Morning Low: 77

SAT: 100 | Mostly sunny | Winds: S 5-10 | Morning Low: 76

SUN: 100 | Mostly sunny | Winds: S 5-10 | Morning Low: 78

MON: 100 | Mostly sunny | Winds: S 5 | Morning Low: 77

Get weather updates by searching hashtag #CBSAustinWX on social media. And download our free CBS Austin Weather App so you can track storms from your phone or tablet.

Share your weather pics with us! Use hashtag #CBSAustinWX on Twitter, Facebook, and Instagram and email weather@cbsaustin.com

Take Care and I’ll see you weeknights at 5, 6, 6:30 & 10pm!

-Chikage

CBS Austin Chief Meteorologist Chikage Windler

On the Web: http://cbsaustin.com/weather

Watch LIVE: http://bit.ly/cbsaustinlive

CBS Austin Weather App and Text Alerts: http://bit.ly/cbsaustinapps

Weather Cameras: http://bit.ly/cbsaustinwxcams

Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/ChikageWeather

Twitter: https://twitter.com/ChikageWeather

Instagram: https://instagram.com/chikageweather

YouTube: http://bit.ly/ChikageWeatherYouTube

Pinterest: http://www.pinterest.com/chikageweather

Bio: http://bit.ly/cbsaustinchikage

Email: chikage@cbsaustin.com

SUNRISE
06:56:52 am
SUNSET
08:14:28 pm

Today's Record Temperatures

Record High104
F
Record Low62
F