TRANSITIONING TO STORM CHANCES

We are still on track to see heavy rain and storms Wednesday night into Thursday morning as the first of two cold fronts moves through. While there are still some uncertainties to diagnose, it appears to be a great/healthy storm chance that should get most of us some much-needed moisture in the soil.

That’s still ~48 hours away, and between now and then, our atmosphere will be engorging itself with moisture. That’ll make it feel VERY uncomfortable outside by this afternoon. With the much higher humidity, highs in the low to mid-90s will come with a heat index up to 100 degrees. Stay cool!

Wednesday will be disgusting from start to finish with extreme humidity and air temperatures in the low 90s.

STORMS WITH COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT

We’ve dropped rain chances during the daytime hours both today and Wednesday with the exception of some isolated showers and storms near or east of I-35 by Wednesday afternoon. Our widespread storm chance won’t kick in until a slow-moving cold front drops in during the late Wednesday night hours.

We’re more confident on the timing of the complex of storms moving through. The lion’s share of the storm chance and rain accumulation will occur between midnight and 10 AM Thursday as storms move slowly from north to south.

What is a bit less certain as of this morning is where the heaviest of our rain accumulation will land. New data this morning is putting the highest rainfall totals of 1-4” along and east of I-35 with lesser amounts falling in the Hill Country. While that’s a trend worth monitoring, I’m not fully sold just yet. I still think much of the area, Hill Country included, has a fair shot at an inch of rain minimum.

FALL CHILL FOR ACL WEEKEND ONE

Rain chances quickly taper off during the day Thursday, and we’ll be totally dry from Friday through the weekend. Thanks to a second cold front moving through on Friday, it will also get substantially cooler with our coolest stretch of weather in the forecast since early April. Highs in the 80s on Thursday and Friday give way to highs in the low to mid-70s on Saturday and Sunday with VERY low humidity. With clear skies and low humidity during the overnight hours, low temperatures will be in the 50s for at least 3-4 mornings beginning early Saturday. It is going to feel very refreshing after one of our hottest summers in recorded history. Enjoy!

STAGE-TWO WATER RESTRICTIONS ARE HERE

Lake Travis is falling with an elevation of 628.54 feet (37% full, 36 feet below average)

Lake Buchanan is falling with an elevation of 992.66 feet (46% full, 18 feet below average)

Combined storage is now below 900,000 acre-feet with 19,000 acre-feet disappearing from our lakes each week. Stage two water restrictions have started and will continue for the foreseeable future. Please conserve water and follow your local watering restrictions