Saturday, February 23rd, 2019
RED FLAG WARNING 11am - 6pm Gillespie County (Critical Fire Danger)
WINDY AND WARM
Strong northwest to west winds have developed this morning behind a Pacific cold front. Sustained winds 10-20 with gusts to 30 plus low relative humidity behind the front will create elevated to critical fire danger across Central Texas, with the highest fire danger in the far Western Hill Country points west. That same gusty west wind will also mean warm temps! We’ll likely top out in the low 70s.
Clear skies and lighter winds Saturday night into Sunday morning will mean a chilly start on Sunday in the low 40s (Austin) and 30s in the Hill Country, but full sunshine will mean a fantastic finish to the day with highs in the mid to upper 60s.
Small rain chances return Tuesday (20%), Thursday (20%) and Friday (10%). A weak cold front could push through mid to late next week, but overall, it’s looking like our weather will be pretty mild and quiet.
AIR QUALITY FORECAST
Saturday’s Air Quality: CODE GREEN - GOOD. Check the Air Quality anytime here: https://airnow.gov/index.cfm?action=airnow.local_city&cityid=229
EL NINO IS HERE
NOAA officially declared a weak El Nino present on February 13th. Weak El Nino conditions are expected to continue through spring - a 55% chance. We are under an El Nino Advisory.
The Climate Prediction Center outlook for Feb 28-Mar 4 is below normal for temps and above normal for precip. For Mar 2-8, it’s below normal for temps and above normal for precip. For March 9-22, the outlook is for near normal temps and near normal precip.
No pollen report Friday. Thursday’s count: Mold 1452 - mod. Oak 97- mod. Ash 25 - low. Elm 19 - low. Trace Cottonwood and Willow. Get the latest allergy report from Allergy & Asthma & Associates here: http://cbsaustin.com/weather/cbs-austin-allergens. Allergens are updated Monday through Friday, except on holidays.
As of Friday afternoon, Lake Travis was 101% full and Lake Buchanan 95% full, with combined storage of 98%. Check the levels here: http://hydromet.lcra.org/riverreport
The UV Index forecast for Saturday afternoon is 6 (high). You can find the UV Index here: https://www.epa.gov/sunsafety/uv-index-1
ELEVATED FIRE DANGER SATURDAY - low relative humidity, gusty west winds.
No burn bans for our area at this time.
Statewide Burn Bans: http://tfsfrp.tamu.edu/wildfires/DecBan.png
Fire Danger Forecast: http://twc.tamu.edu/tfd
For the first time since October 9th, part of the CBS Austin area is “Abnormally Dry,” a pre-cursor to drought conditions. Parts of Llano County have seen abnormally dry conditions develop. Despite the fact we’ve seen many days this month with clouds and light showers or drizzle, most areas are running about 1” below normal precip this month.
Our next Drought Monitor will be released Thursday, February 28th. http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?TX\
STORM TRACKER FORECAST
SAT: 73 | Sun and high clouds . Windy and warm | Winds: NW/W 10-20
SUN: 68 | Sunny and nice | Winds: N/NE 5 | Morning Low: 42
MON: 68 | Sunny and pleasant | Winds: NE/SE 5-10 | Morning Low: 40
TUE: 69 | Mostly cloudy with possible light showers mainly south and east | Rain Chance: 20% | Winds: E 5-10 | Morning Low: 49
WED: 73 | Mix of sun and clouds. Mild. | Winds: N/NE 5 | Morning Low: 56
THU: 68 | Mostly cloudy with isolated showers possible | Rain Chance: 20% | Wind: NE 5-10 | Morning Low: 55
FRI: 70 | Partly cloudy. Stray shower? | Rain Chance: 10% | Wind: N/SE 5 | Morning Low: 50
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Take Care and I’ll see you weeknights at 5, 6, 6:30 & 10pm!
CBS Austin Chief Meteorologist Chikage Windler
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Today's Record Temperatures