Friday, December 14th, 2018
WEATHER ALERT FOR WIND UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING – WIND ADVISORY FOR MILAM COUNTY
WEATHER ALERT FOR SNOW UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING – MASON COUNTY WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
The potent area of low pressure spinning across the Lone Star state brought gusts over 40 mph to the Austin area. Wind Advisories will remain up until 6am for most of the CBS Austin area, noon for Milam County. Northwest winds sustained 15-30 with gusts 40-50 will be possible.
List of peak gusts from the National Weather Service: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.php?pil=PNSEWX&e=201812132244
There have been reports of holiday decorations, patio furniture and trees damaged by the wind. Trash bins and any other loose objects could also be blown around. These winds can also make driving difficult and possibly cause power outages.
Winds will not be as strong on Friday, with sustained 15-25 mph winds and gusts up to 40 mph. That said, it will still be windy. By Saturday morning, winds drop to 10-15 mph and by Saturday night, 5-10 mph.
The strong winds combined with low humidity and lots of dry vegetation and brush = elevated fire danger for our area points south to the RGV.
Wind chills in the morning may fall into the mid to upper 20s in the Hill Country and low 30s for the Austin area. Kids at the bus stop will need those extra layers! Even into the afternoon, though temps should nudge into the low 50s, it will feel like 40s.
RAIN/SNOW CLEARS OUT
We're beginning the day with isolated showers including some light snow in portions of the Hill Country. So far, there have been NO reports of snowfall accumulation, but it isn't out of the question, especially in Mason county. Ground temperatures are still very warm, so I don't expect any impact to roadways. Any accumulation will be on grassy areas, cars, etc. That said, take it slow on bridges and overpasses as they are always the first to freeze.
Moisture will clear out through the day, but we'll hang on to a good deal of cloud cover. Mostly cloudy as highs "warm" to the low 50s. Our gusty winds will make those 50s feel much colder.
AIR QUALITY FORECAST
Friday’s Air Quality: CODE GREEN - GOOD. Check the Air Quality anytime here: https://airnow.gov/index.cfm?action=airnow.local_city&cityid=229
EL NINO WATCH CONTINUES
NOAA is predicting a 90% chance of El Nino for winter 2018-19 and 60% into spring 2019. We are under an El Nino Watch.
The winter outlook released October 18th calls for WARMER than normal temps here in Central Texas and WETTER than normal precipitation.
Worth noting: for Central Texas, El Nino winters are typically colder and wetter than normal. Stay tuned!
The seasonal outlook for December-January-February was released November 15th and calls for near normal temps and above normal precipitation for our area: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/seasonal.php?lead=1
The shorter-term Climate Prediction Center outlook for Dec 19-23 is above normal for temps and above normal for precip. For Dec 21-27, it’s near normal for temps and above normal for precip. For December 22nd through Jan 4th, the outlook is for above normal temps and below normal precip.
ALLERGY REPORT – CEDAR IS HERE!
Thursday’s count: Mold 1224 - mod. Cedar 232 – mod. Red Berry Juniper 47 - low. Get the latest allergy report from Allergy & Asthma & Associates here: https://twitter.com/atxpollen and here: http://cbsaustin.com/weather/cbs-austin-allergens. Allergens are updated Monday through Friday, except on holidays.
As of Thursday afternoon, Lake Travis was 101% full and Lake Buchanan 95% full, with combined storage of 98%. Check the levels here: http://hydromet.lcra.org/riverreport
The UV Index forecast for Thursday afternoon is 2 (low). You can find the UV Index here: https://www.epa.gov/sunsafety/uv-index-1
Burn Ban for Mason County. Elevated fire danger, especially with the windy conditions.
Statewide Burn Bans: http://tfsfrp.tamu.edu/wildfires/DecBan.png
Fire Danger Forecast: http://twc.tamu.edu/tfd
We continue to be drought free. Our next Drought Monitor will be released Thursday, December 20th. http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?TX\
STORM TRACKER FORECAST
FRI: 53 | WINDY. Any light precip moves out before or around sunrise. Cloudy start, clearing skies late | Winds: NW 15-25, gusts to 40 possible
SAT: 65 | Sunny | Winds: NW 10-15 early, 5-10 late | Morning Low: 38
SUN: 68 | Sun & high clouds | Winds: W/S 5 | Morning Low: 39
MON: 67 | Partly cloudy | Winds: W/S 5 | Morning Low: 46
TUE: 66 | Partly to mostly cloudy, slim shower or drizzle chance late | Rain Chance: 10% | Winds: SW/SE 5-10 | Morning Low: 49
WED: 66 | Mostly cloudy with scattered showers possible | Rain Chance: 30% | Winds: S 5 | Morning Low: 50
THU: 68 | Early clouds and a spot shower, then decreasing clouds. | Rain Chance: 10% early | Wind: NW/N 5-15 | Morning Low: 47
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Today's Record Temperatures